CVAS + 2k + TSM PAGES Meeting

Session

Topical Science Meeting

8 Mar 2023, 13:30

Plenary room Building H (AWI Potsdam)

Conveners

Topical Science Meeting: Session 1

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting: Session 2

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting

• Hugues Goosse

Topical Science Meeting: Session 3

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting: Session 4

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting: Wrap Up

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting: Summary of morning breakout groups & preparing the Next Steps

• There are no conveners in this block

Topical Science Meeting: Distribution of Tasks

• There are no conveners in this block

Presentation materials

Description of breakout groups

TSM Webex Room

14. Welcome

Hugues Goosse

08/03/2023, 13:30

15. The enigma of multidecadal to centennial temperature variability in climate simulations and reconstructions

Thom Laepple & PingPong Team

08/03/2023, 13:45

(outcome from the last workshop in Heidelberg concerning local and global variability in models and proxy data )

16. Workshop Reports: CVAS

Group Leaders

08/03/2023, 14:05

17. Workshop Reports: PAGES 2k

Group Leaders

08/03/2023, 14:30

18. Two case studies for understanding hydroclimate from different proxies, across temporal scales

Luke Parsons, Sloan Coats

08/03/2023, 15:30

Sloan Coats: Hydroclimate model-(paleo)data comparisons from gridded fields to single timeseries: Challenges and opportunities

Luke Parson: Hydroclimatic Variance in Climate Model Simulations and Paleoclimate Records of the Last Millennium

(each 20min Talk + 10min Discussion)

Organizers: Alyssa Atwood, Matt Jones

20. What are the main signals from the polar region

Anais Orsi, Liz Thomas

08/03/2023, 16:30

15min Talk + 15min Discussion

21. From simple models and physics - What are the expectations from physics…. (e.g. can tropics have more variability than high latitudes… )

Anson Cheung, Raphaël Hébert, Xu Zhang

08/03/2023, 17:00

15min Talk + 15min Discussion

22. From complex models

Jürgen Bader, Hugues Goosse, Qiong Zhang

08/03/2023, 17:30

15min Talk + 15min Discussion

23. Breakout Groups Formation

08/03/2023, 18:00

Main signals from
1.) paleo-observations
2.) complex models
3.) physics

24. Good Morning

Hugues Goosse

09/03/2023, 09:00

25. Breakout Groups

09/03/2023, 09:05

Introducing yourself and your science

T1: Describe the main and most robust signals / expectations from your group topic
T2: What are the burning issue from your group topic?
T3: What input would you expect from the other groups?
T4: What do your findings imply for the other groups?

26. Methods: Analysis of variability

Reik Donner

09/03/2023, 11:00

20min Talk + 10min

27. Methods: Data Assimilation and Variability

Nathan Steiger

09/03/2023, 11:30

20min Talk + 10min Discussion

28. Methods: Spatial Analyses (and methods to separate signal and noise using spatial information)

09/03/2023, 12:00

20min Talk + 10min Discussion

55. Breakout group contiuation

09/03/2023, 13:30

30min Continuation of the breakout groups of main signals in
paleo-observations complex models physics

to prepare (e.g. slides) for the presentation of the questions

Than back to the auditorium at 2pm

57. Wrapup in the auditorium and formation of new groups

09/03/2023, 14:00

56. Breakout groups

09/03/2023, 16:30

1. Oscillations vs. Continuum spectra; can it inform us on the mechanism?
   stats (how to do it) ; models; proxies; theory (what does it mean)

2.Temperature vs. Hydroclimate; What do we expect in the models and what do we have in the data; spatial structure…

Enhancing/Fudging/Rescaling/perturbing/ the models; Develop designs together… / new model experiments?

4 Volcanic vs. AMOC… ...

30. Good Morning

Hugues Goosse

10/03/2023, 09:05

possibility to readjust the groups (if somebody wants to switch or some expert is needed)

31. Work in breakout groups defined on the previous day

10/03/2023, 09:20

19. What are the main hydro-climatic signals

15min Talk + 15min Discussion