Speaker
Prof.
Adam Scaife
(Met Office Hadley Centre, UK)
Description
We discuss long range forecasting from months to a few years ahead with a focus on current predictions systems, levels of prediction skill and the physical mechanisms that provide predictability, including the role of solar variability and its representation in prediction systems. On these timescales, initial conditions play a significant role in predictability and initialised climate predictions are needed to provide skilful and reliable information. We outline the state of the science, the state of our current predictive capability and take a view on the likely areas for future improvement.
| Solicited or Contributed | Solicited |
|---|---|
| Presenting author | Adam Scaife |
| Author list and affiliations | Met Office Hadley Centre, and University of Exeter, UK. |
Primary author
Prof.
Adam Scaife
(Met Office Hadley Centre, UK)
